The NHL is geared up for more action even in the midst of Super Bowl 58 taking the spotlight. With the All-Star Game behind us and the trade deadline still a month away, there are more than 500 regular season games left to be played. Teams are coming out of the break well-rested, as pointed out by Jeff Veillette in this week’s schedule breakdown, but the next few months will be a grind with no break in sight. Now is the perfect time to look at league trends using betting data from the 782 games that have already been played this season.
The NHL betting data shows insights into home-ice advantage, how often teams cover the puck line, and how puck lines, regulation lines, and totals are priced. Betters can compare the percentage to the implied odds in each row to identify any discrepancies in how a particular market is being priced.
The trends show that games with a total of 5.5 have gone over nearly 60 percent of the time, with the over (5.5 goals) hitting nearly 69% of the time. Additionally, games have gone to overtime and shootouts at a significant rate, suggesting that bettors should consider betting on games to end in a regulation time draw.
Diving deeper into this season’s betting data, it is clear that the Vancouver Canucks, St. Louis Blues, and Winnipeg Jets have been the most profitable on the moneyline, while the Chicago Blackhawks, Seattle Kraken, and Ottawa Senators have been the least profitable.
However, bettors should not base their bets solely on past results or surface-level betting data. The St. Louis Blues, for example, may have won five games in a row before the All-Star break, but a closer look at analytics shows that they were objectively bad in shot attempt percentage and expected goals percentage during this streak.
It’s important for bettors to conduct a more rigorous statistical analysis before making any bets. For more insights into NHL betting, stay updated with updates on NorthStar Bets and the latest NHL projected standings and Stanley Cup playoff chances provided daily on their website.