This week’s Thursday Night Football game will be a dream for under bettors, with the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers facing off in a matchup featuring historically low-scoring teams. The Patriots have scored 10 or fewer points in each of their last three games and are on a five-game losing streak, while the Steelers have averaged just 12 points per game in their last three games.
The low-scoring trend is reflected in the sportsbooks’ over/under total of 30, which is the lowest in an NFL game since 1993. The quarterbacks for this game are unlikely to be Hall of Fame-worthy, with the Patriots likely starting Mac Jones or Bailey Zappe, and the Steelers expected to start Mitch Trubisky.
The Patriots have struggled on offense, averaging just 12.3 points per game, and have been rotating between Jones and Zappe at quarterback. The Steelers, on the other hand, have been dealing with a lack of scoring even with quarterback Kenny Pickett, who is now out with a high ankle sprain. The Steelers are part of a four-way tie for the AFC wild-card spots, making this game important for their playoff chances.
In terms of betting, the Steelers are likely to have an advantage with their strong defensive line led by T.J. Watt, who has been described as “the best defensive player on the planet.” The Patriots may also struggle to contain Pittsburgh’s running back Jaylen Warren, as they have the second-best rushing defense in the NFL.
Weather forecasts are calling for moderate winds and partly cloudy skies for the game. Both teams are in the bottom five in the NFL when it comes to going over the total, so the under may be a tempting bet. However, the Steelers are favored to win, and betting on them to cover the spread may be a good option. Additionally, taking over-0.5 on Trubisky’s touchdown passes might be worth the long odds.